Showing posts with label mumbai. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mumbai. Show all posts

Political motive (Aftermath of the mumbai attacks)

⊆ 1:54 PM by jack | , , . | ˜ 9 comments »

I was curiously watching the news today as to what is in store in future. there were three headlines that struck me, "Pak threatens warlike situation, may relocate army to indian borders if tension rises". "U.S worried over rising tension between india and pak", " Country outraged, wants soft PM to take harsh measures, enough is enough"


Two days before pak foreign minister and president were shouting on top of their voice that we would support india in all possible way, but a day after a statement comes from its defence that they are ready to move the troops.

Why is US worrying so much due to rise in tension in the subcontinent?, 
In present day pak troops are on the western border fighting taliban and al-queda tribes on the US command the area known as Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). Moving troops from that area could derail the coming Obama administration’s hopes of creating a broader, regional response to the threat posed by Al-Queda and taliban. U.S wants pakistan to concentrate on Afghanistan border rather than Indian borders. But what this attack has done is pushed india on a verge of desperation and pakistan would definitely respond.

Whos benefitting in all this??. India not for sure, neither US nor pakistan too, it has already so much of pressure from US to curb terrorism and with recently newly elected government which itself is not so strong and efficient and economy on verge of bankruptcy, pakistan government involvment looks unrealistic.

Than was this attack carried out with out any motive, i feel there's much larger motive
What circumstances points out is that the atacks were strategically planned by al-Qaeda through the Lashkar-e-Toiba (LeT) militants they train. It is trying to work out a space for itself in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). They have been hurting very badly in there because of pressure from the Pakistani army and US missile attacks. 

This is a very critical period for al-Qaeda. It has only a few months. The US is preparing to send 20,000 troops into Afghanistan by April. The al-Qaeda is under tremendous pressure. They need to do something
If tensions between India and Pakistan rise, the army will be moved to the Indian border, pakistan will respond by moving its army from the Afghanistan border to the Indian one. And al-Qaeda will have a free run of FATA. This can be one version of speculation and i feel the  most logical keeping in view the global perspective. 

Our government needs to be very carefull here in taking any kind of decision because its very critical period this and any decision driven by emotion can cause real crisis for the country even bigger than the present one.

So what are possible events likely to unfold
  • India waging war on pakistan-well first of all we should understand we cannot do what US did after 9/11, first of all we are not US and pakistan is not afghanistan, it has nuke and a developed military that can cause lot of damage to us, and we must understand pakistan has nothing to lose, its economy is on verge of bankruptcy but we have everything at stake. and frankly we dont have a leader whos cabable of doing that, our PM is good in numbers, very humble man but with due respect not at all an efficient leader. He lacks firm and harsh decision making ability which is most important characteristic of efficeint leader.
  • India selectively targetting and bombing the lashkar camps- this is the best possible option as far as i see but we need pak support for this, if pak decides not to cooperate than everything will boil down to option one which will be foolishness on our side, because in long run we are at lose.
  • Nothing changing- Well this is also a likely option, history shows when such events occur lot of hue and cry take place but end result is zero. i pray from bottom of my heart that this is not one such event and we are going to see some end results
whatever be the option taken it is very necessary that, the decision is not emotions driven and under pressure because that will hurt our country in the long run, i have kept my fingers crossed lets see how everything unfolds